It shouldn't come as a surprise that terrorists aren't the brightest bunch. If they were, they wouldn't be hiding behind civilians and hostages amid the rubble of their own making and dead bodies of their comrades.
By Hamas' own, highly questionable, figures about 63,000 people have died as a result of the Israeli intervention in Gaza following the terror attack of October 7, 2023.
For nearly two years we have been hearing how Israel is committing genocide on the poor Palestinians in the Strip. That it is deliberately butchering thousands of women and children, trying to erase the stateless nation from existence.
There's only one problem – there's more of them now than when the war started.
If Israel is committing genocide, then it is really, really bad at it.
The worst genocide ever
So, terrorists in charge of Gaza claim 63,000 deaths – but that's not equivalent to an actual drop in population. We have to offset this by counting all the children that have been born in the same time and account for naturally occurring deaths as well.
Before the war the daily birthrate in Gaza was approximately 180 to 190 babies. In January of 2024, UNICEF reported that approximately 20,000 children were born in the first 105 days of war.
By July 2024, Save the Children NGO reported estimates showing approximately 50,000 in the first nine months of war – so, from October 7 through June 2024 – this is in line with UNICEF's figures.
The same organisation estimated 130 births per day in early 2025. In other words, in 2025 alone there were approximately 28,000 births in Gaza (lower than prewar rates by about one third).
I couldn't find reliable estimates for the entire 2024, nor for the second half of the year specifically, but it's clear we're in the range of 190 (early to mid 2024) and 130 (early 2025) daily – or additional 23,000 to 33,000 births for the period between July 1 and December 31.
In total, from October 7, 2023 until now there have been between 101,000 and 111,000 births in the Strip.
The crude annual death rate in Gaza as reported by Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics was roughly 3.5 per 1000 people before the war. With approximately 2.1 million people in 2023, that equates to about 7,000 deaths per year.
This adds up to about 13,000 natural deaths since Hamas' attack on Israel. And, as we know, even the terror group admitted that it added those deaths to some of its statistics for casualties of war.
But let's even assume that they didn't, the figures have been corrected and that the 63,000 dead have all been killed as a result of Israel intervention. This puts the total number of Palestinians dead since October 7 at around 76,000.
It means that there's still a surplus of 25,000 to 35,000 people.
Yes, there may be a bit fewer people inside Gaza as approximately 100,000 have fled abroad, but these are expected refugees of war, just like millions of Syrians and Iraqis used to be – not victims of planned extermination.
As a result, the number of Gazans – even if we are to believe the figures reported by Hamas – is currently larger than it was in 2023.
And, let's not forget, tens of thousands of those reported casualties were actually Hamas fighters – legitimate targets for the IDF.
Israelis reported around 20,000 terrorists killed, while the US intelligence suggested around 10,000 to 15,000 by the end of 2024. If we subtract them from the alleged civilians the surplus of Gazans grows to between 35,000 and 50,000 over 2023.
This must be the "worst" genocide ever, when after nearly 2 years the population of your alleged victims has only gone up.
Featured image: Mohammed Ibrahim / Unsplash / March 17, 2025
